Worldwide sales of next-generation PON technologies will add up to $7 billion by 2022, new Dell'Oro Group research finds.
The report, "Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast," incorporates technologies such as 10 Gbit/s EPON, XGS-PON and NG-PON2. By 2022, XGS-PON will account for $1.034 billion versus 2017 sales of $16 million, Alam Tamboli, senior analyst at Dell'Oro told Broadband World News. NG-PON2 will reach $204 million in 2022 compared with $5.9 million in 2017, he noted.
That works out to a compound annual growth rate of almost 40%, according to Dell'Oro.
"This is a part of the transition toward next-generation technologies as those technologies ramp up deployments," Tamboli said.
There is a long way to go before next-generation PON makes any noticeable dent in the installed 2.5 Gbit/s EPON base -- but operators want the capabilities of newer PON options and must upgrade aging infrastructure.
Slicing Up PON Pie
XGS-PON and 10 Gbit/s EPON, with some help from NG-PON2, slowly take share away from 2.5 Gbit/s EPON, according to Dell'Oro Group's "Broadband Access 5-Year Forecast."
"NG-PON2 adoption really comes down to is pricing low enough, and is XGS-PON good enough that there’s no need for the higher-capabilities of NG-PON2?" he said. "I think my NG-PON2 forecast has the most caveats attached to it. It could go anywhere from falling apart/zero revenue to being much bigger than XGS-PON, all depending on those two factors."
Oceans don't separate next-generation PON adoption, which operators around the globe are planning and deploying. Chinese service providers are upgrading to XGS-PON and XG-PON, Ovum and Dell'Oro analysts agreed. But other providers are choosing from the entire array of PON options, Tamboli noted.
"It’s really a mixed bag. North America, Europe and even parts of Asia Pacific outside of China are all expected to drive strength in PON," he said.
In a flurry of activity throughout the week, Donald (DJ) LaVoy, Deputy Under Secretary for Rural Development at the US Department of Agriculture, and his team spent about $145.8 million in the non-urban or suburban areas of seven states.
Calix reported revenue of $120.19 million – up 4% – in Q4 2019, putting a bounce in the step of company president and CEO Carl Russo and a shine to Calix's ongoing transition from hardware vendor to a provider of platforms enabled by cloud, APIs and subscriber experience.
Looking to curtail e-waste and improve the bottom line, BT will require customers to return routers and set-top boxes, although subscribers will not have to pay a fee when they receive regular broadband equipment.
Deploying DOCSIS 3.1 across its entire footprint gave Rogers Communications the ability to offer speeds of up to 1 Gbit/s,
contributing to a broadband segement that generated about 60% of the Canadian operator's $3.05 billion (US) in Q4 cable earnings.
It wasn't long ago that TV was ranked by subscribers as the most important service in the bundle provided by their communications service provider (CSP). Recent research indicates that for nearly three quarters of subscribers, broadband is now the most important service. Broadcast TV is the most important service to only 15% of North American consumers, replaced by OTT video streaming platforms like Netflix, Amazon Prime and Disney+. In addition, many different competitors are moving aggressively to stake a claim in consumers' homes.
In 2020, CSPs need to fight back by transforming their business models, which are becoming more reliant on a single source of revenue: fixed broadband services.
This webinar will focus on helping CSPs transform their business models by placing a firm focus on delivering a sensational subscriber experience and by offering compelling new services that generate value for subscribers. These actions will reinforce the CSP's strategic position in the home network and position themselves for growth in the next decade.
Key topics include:
Being the first to market with WiFi 6 technology, in response to consumer purchases of new devices over the holidays;
Having the insights needed to proactively resolve issues, often before your subscribers even know that there are issues;
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Delivering a mobile app, in response to consumer demands for the ability to do some things themselves, rather than having to call technical support; and
Addressing consumer concerns around device security, privacy and control with enhanced security and parental controls.
In this insightful Light Reading radio show, Kurt Raaflaub, Head of Strategic Solutions Marketing, will outline the key service provider challenges, deployment considerations, next-gen Gigabit technologies, and service models to win market share in the rapidly growing MDU market.